The weather pattern continues to be dry with above average temperatures for south Texas as we head into the weekend. Our rainfall deficit for the year continues to climb and is at six and a half inches. A moderate to severe drought is expanding across the Coastal Bend and unfortunately there is no meaningful rainfall in the forecast in the next 7 days.
For the next few days, the onshore flow will bring the humidity up which will lead to low clouds and fog the next few nights and warm, humid days with highs in the lower 80s and abundant sunshine.
There is a Coastal Flood Advisory from 5 PM Thursday to 2 AM Friday for minor coastal flooding. Water will be higher on the beaches and low areas along the intracoastal waterways and bays Thursday night. There is also a high rip current risk through Friday.
Nights will be mild through the weekend with lows in the low 60s inland to upper 60s at the coast with overnight low clouds. Days will reach into the upper 70s at the beaches to the low 80s inland.
A weak cold front will move through by early Monday morning and fizzle out, only dropping temperature and humidity slightly. A stray shower is possible early morning Monday with the front. Another cold front will move through early Wednesday morning and could produce isolated showers but no meaningful rain. Temperatures will drop into the 70s behind it for next Wednesday.
As of now, Thanksgiving looks dry with a mild afternoon as high temperatures reach the upper 70s to 80. Another stronger front is showing up for Black Friday and could produce some showers. We'll keep watching and will have an updated forecast for the holiday.